DENBroncos
3-9
13
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
043
ARICardinals
3-9
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
0
0
10
13
Cardinals
3
13
3
18
37
Spread
+4
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
357
Total Plays
73
72
Yards / Play
3.9
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.46
-0.02
Passing Yards
156
--
Comp/Att
19/41(46%)
15/38(39%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.73
-0.34
Rushing Yards
132
211
Rush Attempts
31
34
Yards / Rush
4.3
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.30
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
20%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
33%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-31.67
-5.10
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-10
--
Sack EPA
-2.41
--
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
66
62
Penalty EPA
-8.22
-6.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model55.4%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+4.0
Expected Value
+14.6%
Cover Probability
58.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+27
Home nfelo
1,345
Away nfelo
1,392
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+11.9
Home QB Adjustment
+15.9
Away QB Adjustment
+4.0
Market Regression
+14.8
Final Difference
-37.6
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
K. Orton
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+4.0
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
+15.9
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
30
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
5
27
Rushing Yards / Game
26
30
EPA
EPA / Play
17
14
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
30
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
2
Interceptions / Game
7
11
Fumbles / Game
26
2
Turnover EPA / Game
16
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
11
4th Down Efficiency
30
21
RZ Efficiency
13
1
Cardinals Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
32
Yards / Game
31
32
Passing Yards / Game
22
4
Rushing Yards / Game
32
31
EPA
EPA / Play
31
31
EPA / Pass
31
30
EPA / Rush
25
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
10
Interceptions / Game
21
31
Fumbles / Game
22
22
Turnover EPA / Game
5
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
16
4th Down Efficiency
24
27
RZ Efficiency
29
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cardinals
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U