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  1. nfelo...
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  3. broncos @ chargers week 2, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DEN logo
DENBroncos
1-0
37
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph
13
LACChargers
0-1
LAC logo
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
14
10
10
3
37
Chargers
3
7
3
0
13

Game Statistics

General
Broncos logo
Chargers logo
Total Yards
382
303
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
6.1
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.39
-0.08
Passing Yards
185
--
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
20/41(49%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.21
Rushing Yards
197
121
Rush Attempts
33
18
Yards / Rush
6.0
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
Broncos logo
Chargers logo
1st Downs
24
19
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
36%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
4
1
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Broncos logo
Chargers logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.49
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-7
--
Sack EPA
-1.31
--
Penalties
10
11
Penalty Yards
81
96
Penalty EPA
-8.09
-11.85

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DEN logo
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Broncos logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
7
27
Passing Yards / Game
31
24
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26

EPA

EPA / Play
10
32
EPA / Pass
15
28
EPA / Rush
3
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
21
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
2
31
Turnover EPA / Game
22
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
31
4th Down Efficiency
28
22
RZ Efficiency
7
32
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Chargers logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
16
12
Yards / Game
16
5
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
6

EPA

EPA / Play
12
14
EPA / Pass
20
15
EPA / Rush
4
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
21
32
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
10
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
4
4th Down Efficiency
14
18
RZ Efficiency
22
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DEN logo

Broncos

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/27
8
W
W
P
11/11
-24
L
L
P
11/17
22
W
W
P
11/24
-3
L
L
P
12/01
-3
L
L
P
12/08
-6
L
L
P
12/15
7
W
W
P
12/22
-12
L
L
P
12/29
30
W
W
P
09/07
20
W
W
P
LAC logo

Chargers

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/03
-31
L
L
P
11/10
-4
L
W
P
11/17
3
W
W
P
11/24
-27
L
L
P
12/01
3
W
W
P
12/08
-20
L
L
P
12/15
-7
L
L
P
12/22
-2
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
L
P
09/07
-13
L
L
P