DENBroncos
1-0
37
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph
13
LACChargers
0-1
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
14
10
10
3
37
Chargers
3
7
3
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
382
303
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
6.1
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.39
-0.08
Passing Yards
185
--
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
20/41(49%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.21
Rushing Yards
197
121
Rush Attempts
33
18
Yards / Rush
6.0
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
19
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
36%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
4
1
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.49
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-7
--
Sack EPA
-1.31
--
Penalties
10
11
Penalty Yards
81
96
Penalty EPA
-8.09
-11.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
7
27
Passing Yards / Game
31
24
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
10
32
EPA / Pass
15
28
EPA / Rush
3
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
21
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
2
31
Turnover EPA / Game
22
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
31
4th Down Efficiency
28
22
RZ Efficiency
7
32
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
12
Yards / Game
16
5
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
6
EPA
EPA / Play
12
14
EPA / Pass
20
15
EPA / Rush
4
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
21
32
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
10
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
4
4th Down Efficiency
14
18
RZ Efficiency
22
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U