DENBroncos
3-2
10
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
66°F
8 mph
27
LACChargers
3-2
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
66°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
7
3
0
10
Chargers
7
6
7
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
263
379
Total Plays
66
67
Yards / Play
4.0
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.14
Passing Yards
182
272
Comp/Att
26/41(63%)
21/32(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.20
Rushing Yards
81
107
Rush Attempts
21
32
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
10
18
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
43%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.79
-6.34
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-30
-8
Sack EPA
-4.54
-2.63
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
61
34
Penalty EPA
-5.68
-3.34
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
16
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
24
27
Rushing Yards / Game
10
7
EPA
EPA / Play
14
19
EPA / Pass
18
23
EPA / Rush
11
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
26
Interceptions / Game
18
11
Fumbles / Game
8
16
Turnover EPA / Game
18
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
28
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
21
Yards / Game
11
8
Passing Yards / Game
14
6
Rushing Yards / Game
22
6
EPA
EPA / Play
9
18
EPA / Pass
7
19
EPA / Rush
22
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
12
Interceptions / Game
16
8
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
24
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
13
RZ Efficiency
29
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U