DENBroncos
2-6
33
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
7 mph
17
LACChargers
4-3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
4
7
13
27
Chargers
0
3
7
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
273
Total Plays
59
61
Yards / Play
4.1
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.27
-0.06
Passing Yards
112
214
Comp/Att
14/23(61%)
25/39(64%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
5.5
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.18
Rushing Yards
114
59
Rush Attempts
31
19
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
43%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+4.68
-11.83
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-39
-21
Sack EPA
-8.94
-4.80
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
61
55
Penalty EPA
-5.86
-2.30
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
11
Yards / Game
12
10
Passing Yards / Game
15
22
Rushing Yards / Game
13
3
EPA
EPA / Play
11
13
EPA / Pass
15
27
EPA / Rush
13
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
10
Interceptions / Game
16
19
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
23
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
16
4th Down Efficiency
15
26
RZ Efficiency
23
16
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
12
Yards / Game
26
6
Passing Yards / Game
9
15
Rushing Yards / Game
27
18
EPA
EPA / Play
23
15
EPA / Pass
24
10
EPA / Rush
29
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
23
Interceptions / Game
29
19
Fumbles / Game
6
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
5
4th Down Efficiency
15
16
RZ Efficiency
25
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
2-6
SU
3-5
ATS
0-0-8
O/U
Chargers
4-3
SU
4-3
ATS
0-0-7
O/U