DENBroncos
7-4
27
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
64°F
7 mph
30
LACChargers
7-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
64°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Broncos
10
7
7
3
0
27
Chargers
0
24
0
3
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
417
434
Total Plays
70
80
Yards / Play
6.0
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.04
Passing Yards
261
214
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.00
Rushing Yards
156
220
Rush Attempts
27
38
Yards / Rush
5.8
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.25
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
13
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
15%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
18
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-14.08
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-27
-3
Sack EPA
-8.23
+1.33
Penalties
9
1
Penalty Yards
57
--
Penalty EPA
-11.32
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
21
Yards / Game
3
30
Passing Yards / Game
3
29
Rushing Yards / Game
5
11
EPA
EPA / Play
4
24
EPA / Pass
9
23
EPA / Rush
4
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
23
15
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
14
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
14
4th Down Efficiency
4
28
RZ Efficiency
7
26
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
14
Yards / Game
17
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
22
Rushing Yards / Game
6
4
EPA
EPA / Play
18
22
EPA / Pass
21
20
EPA / Rush
6
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
5
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
3
17
Turnover EPA / Game
28
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
28
4th Down Efficiency
26
15
RZ Efficiency
4
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U