DENBroncos
7-4
17
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
58°F
9 mph
20
LACChargers
8-3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
58°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
7
0
10
17
Chargers
7
10
3
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
337
208
Total Plays
66
64
Yards / Play
5.1
3.3
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.17
Passing Yards
263
86
Comp/Att
16/40(40%)
14/27(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
3.2
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.59
Rushing Yards
74
122
Rush Attempts
24
35
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
14
Passing 1st downs
12
4
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
5
1
3rd Down %
29%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-18.11
-7.78
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-20
Sack EPA
-2.63
-1.83
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
57
94
Penalty EPA
-5.74
-9.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
10
Yards / Game
4
21
Passing Yards / Game
31
29
Rushing Yards / Game
5
3
EPA
EPA / Play
8
21
EPA / Pass
8
19
EPA / Rush
11
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
29
Interceptions / Game
24
6
Fumbles / Game
3
14
Turnover EPA / Game
13
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
12
4th Down Efficiency
11
20
RZ Efficiency
29
13
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
13
Yards / Game
10
5
Passing Yards / Game
10
23
Rushing Yards / Game
7
4
EPA
EPA / Play
3
18
EPA / Pass
3
13
EPA / Rush
4
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
30
Interceptions / Game
1
28
Fumbles / Game
3
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
6
4th Down Efficiency
4
7
RZ Efficiency
2
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U