DENBroncos
0-1
10
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
8 mph
26
KCChiefs
0-1
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
3
0
7
10
Chiefs
0
6
10
10
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
244
365
Total Plays
59
62
Yards / Play
4.1
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.06
Passing Yards
156
177
Comp/Att
20/31(65%)
15/20(75%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
8.8
EPA / Pass
-0.31
--
Rushing Yards
88
188
Rush Attempts
26
41
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
6
1
3rd Down %
14%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
7
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-14.38
-4.55
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-16
-2
Sack EPA
-5.30
-1.88
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
50
84
Penalty EPA
-5.08
-10.97
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
14
Yards / Game
12
14
Passing Yards / Game
15
13
Rushing Yards / Game
13
9
EPA
EPA / Play
11
6
EPA / Pass
15
5
EPA / Rush
13
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
28
Interceptions / Game
16
5
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
23
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
1
4th Down Efficiency
15
17
RZ Efficiency
23
17
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
11
6
Passing Yards / Game
11
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
18
EPA
EPA / Play
16
15
EPA / Pass
7
10
EPA / Rush
14
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
5
19
Fumbles / Game
5
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
5
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
4
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
0-1
SU
0-1
ATS
0-0-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Chiefs
0-1
SU
0-1
ATS
0-0-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U