DENBroncos
3-0
19
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
74°F
7 mph
33
KCChiefs
0-3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
74°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
10
3
6
19
Chiefs
6
7
3
17
33
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
446
370
Total Plays
72
62
Yards / Play
6.2
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.05
Passing Yards
352
157
Comp/Att
29/49(59%)
21/28(75%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
5.6
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.11
Rushing Yards
94
213
Rush Attempts
22
33
Yards / Rush
4.3
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.42
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
17
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
43%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-19.99
-5.15
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-9
-3
Sack EPA
-1.81
-0.65
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
--
45
Penalty EPA
--
-4.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
29
Yards / Game
2
31
Passing Yards / Game
25
1
Rushing Yards / Game
11
30
EPA
EPA / Play
5
30
EPA / Pass
4
26
EPA / Rush
5
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
12
Interceptions / Game
24
18
Fumbles / Game
18
4
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
32
4th Down Efficiency
27
7
RZ Efficiency
16
18
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
30
Yards / Game
24
29
Passing Yards / Game
10
21
Rushing Yards / Game
16
27
EPA
EPA / Play
23
32
EPA / Pass
22
31
EPA / Rush
12
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
32
Interceptions / Game
20
31
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
15
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
26
4th Down Efficiency
29
18
RZ Efficiency
10
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
0-10
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U