DENBroncos
10-4
7
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
9°F
6 mph
20
KCChiefs
5-8
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
9°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
7
0
0
7
Chiefs
3
0
7
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
291
424
Total Plays
51
68
Yards / Play
5.7
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.12
Passing Yards
225
--
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
14/27(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
--
EPA / Pass
-0.14
-0.22
Rushing Yards
66
264
Rush Attempts
14
41
Yards / Rush
4.7
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.33
+0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
24
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
1
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
31%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
+6.34
-2.58
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-3.45
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
51
51
Penalty EPA
-4.72
-4.13
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
23
Yards / Game
2
21
Passing Yards / Game
2
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
22
EPA
EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
6
25
EPA / Rush
4
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
20
Interceptions / Game
4
23
Fumbles / Game
16
13
Turnover EPA / Game
19
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
9
30
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
21
Yards / Game
7
20
Passing Yards / Game
5
23
Rushing Yards / Game
25
7
EPA
EPA / Play
9
15
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
22
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
23
Interceptions / Game
9
2
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
6
4th Down Efficiency
29
9
RZ Efficiency
18
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U