DENBroncos
9-5
31
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
017
INDColts
11-3
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
14
14
0
3
31
Colts
1
10
0
0
11
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
465
183
Total Plays
71
37
Yards / Play
6.5
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.19
-0.15
Passing Yards
--
136
Comp/Att
14/17(82%)
12/23(52%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.95
-0.31
Rushing Yards
227
47
Rush Attempts
54
12
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
11
Passing 1st downs
11
4
Rushing 1st downs
13
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
69%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
57%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
7
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.56
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-2.97
Penalties
11
6
Penalty Yards
93
45
Penalty EPA
-10.30
-3.89
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
19
Yards / Game
7
13
Passing Yards / Game
31
1
Rushing Yards / Game
1
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
29
EPA / Pass
15
18
EPA / Rush
3
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
29
Interceptions / Game
20
13
Fumbles / Game
2
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
16
4th Down Efficiency
28
31
RZ Efficiency
7
27
Colts Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
12
Yards / Game
2
5
Passing Yards / Game
6
3
Rushing Yards / Game
19
6
EPA
EPA / Play
2
14
EPA / Pass
1
15
EPA / Rush
13
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
27
Interceptions / Game
4
32
Fumbles / Game
12
13
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
4
4th Down Efficiency
12
18
RZ Efficiency
10
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U