DENBroncos
10-6
24
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
049
INDColts
12-4
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
3
14
7
24
Colts
14
21
0
14
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
529
Total Plays
58
58
Yards / Play
5.8
9.1
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.63
Passing Yards
260
453
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
27/33(82%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
13.7
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.84
Rushing Yards
78
76
Rush Attempts
21
24
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
27
Passing 1st downs
14
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
70%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
67%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.14
-5.08
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-24
-4
Sack EPA
-4.11
-1.09
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
24
25
Penalty EPA
-5.20
-1.75
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
19
Yards / Game
4
28
Passing Yards / Game
31
32
Rushing Yards / Game
5
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
25
EPA / Pass
8
25
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
32
Interceptions / Game
24
12
Fumbles / Game
3
9
Turnover EPA / Game
13
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
25
4th Down Efficiency
11
8
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Colts Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
13
Yards / Game
2
5
Passing Yards / Game
15
23
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4
EPA
EPA / Play
1
18
EPA / Pass
1
13
EPA / Rush
7
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
30
Interceptions / Game
2
28
Fumbles / Game
9
28
Turnover EPA / Game
30
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
8
7
RZ Efficiency
3
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U