DENBroncos
5-4
24
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
020
ATLFalcons
6-3
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
0
7
10
24
Falcons
3
10
0
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
332
364
Total Plays
53
68
Yards / Play
6.3
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.07
Passing Yards
208
--
Comp/Att
19/27(70%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.59
+0.28
Rushing Yards
124
114
Rush Attempts
25
35
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
58%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
7
11
3rd Down Attempts
12
18
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.41
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-0.24
--
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
36
36
Penalty EPA
-6.64
-4.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
11
Yards / Game
2
24
Passing Yards / Game
25
23
Rushing Yards / Game
11
24
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
4
17
EPA / Rush
5
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
28
Interceptions / Game
24
27
Fumbles / Game
18
21
Turnover EPA / Game
10
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
14
4th Down Efficiency
27
13
RZ Efficiency
16
15
Falcons Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
30
Yards / Game
6
29
Passing Yards / Game
31
21
Rushing Yards / Game
3
27
EPA
EPA / Play
7
32
EPA / Pass
8
31
EPA / Rush
10
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
32
Interceptions / Game
9
31
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
27
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
26
4th Down Efficiency
15
18
RZ Efficiency
11
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U