DENBroncos
2-1
20
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
82°F
10 mph
7
JAXJaguars
2-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
82°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
14
0
6
20
Jaguars
0
0
7
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
241
Total Plays
73
47
Yards / Play
4.2
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.31
Passing Yards
118
229
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.08
-0.23
Rushing Yards
188
12
Rush Attempts
44
11
Yards / Rush
4.3
1.1
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.43
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
13
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
33%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
50%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-13.83
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-18
-11
Sack EPA
-4.42
-5.79
Penalties
5
15
Penalty Yards
30
119
Penalty EPA
-3.81
-12.45
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
8
Yards / Game
5
5
Passing Yards / Game
13
21
Rushing Yards / Game
3
13
EPA
EPA / Play
6
5
EPA / Pass
9
11
EPA / Rush
2
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
16
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
15
31
Turnover EPA / Game
31
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
3
4th Down Efficiency
2
2
RZ Efficiency
6
25
Jaguars Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
6
Yards / Game
16
19
Passing Yards / Game
18
4
Rushing Yards / Game
10
2
EPA
EPA / Play
13
13
EPA / Pass
12
15
EPA / Rush
11
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
30
Interceptions / Game
1
6
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
16
4th Down Efficiency
25
18
RZ Efficiency
9
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U