DENBroncos
3-4
7
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
044
DETLions
5-2
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
0
0
7
7
Lions
3
13
8
8
32
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
303
376
Total Plays
71
61
Yards / Play
4.3
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.35
+0.23
Passing Yards
256
246
Comp/Att
32/50(64%)
16/31(52%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.20
Rushing Yards
47
130
Rush Attempts
16
29
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
50%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
9
6
3rd Down Attempts
18
15
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-25.93
-2.78
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-26
-6
Sack EPA
-12.26
+1.67
Penalties
12
2
Penalty Yards
84
32
Penalty EPA
-6.61
-2.92
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
32
Yards / Game
10
32
Passing Yards / Game
3
28
Rushing Yards / Game
8
23
EPA
EPA / Play
15
25
EPA / Pass
11
26
EPA / Rush
10
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
4
Interceptions / Game
9
13
Fumbles / Game
24
2
Turnover EPA / Game
14
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
30
4th Down Efficiency
30
30
RZ Efficiency
21
31
Lions Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
28
Yards / Game
19
19
Passing Yards / Game
4
4
Rushing Yards / Game
31
30
EPA
EPA / Play
22
31
EPA / Pass
20
31
EPA / Rush
25
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
17
Interceptions / Game
30
24
Fumbles / Game
22
3
Turnover EPA / Game
4
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
26
4th Down Efficiency
21
31
RZ Efficiency
18
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U