DENBroncos
2-4
23
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
53°F
25 mph
24
NEPatriots
4-2
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
53°F
25 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
10
3
10
23
Patriots
10
7
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
442
325
Total Plays
68
53
Yards / Play
6.5
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.15
Passing Yards
309
192
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
13/22(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.01
Rushing Yards
133
133
Rush Attempts
27
28
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
15
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
31%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-7
-22
Sack EPA
-2.38
-6.78
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
70
34
Penalty EPA
-2.94
-3.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
5
Yards / Game
12
7
Passing Yards / Game
15
3
Rushing Yards / Game
13
20
EPA
EPA / Play
11
8
EPA / Pass
15
13
EPA / Rush
13
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
3
Interceptions / Game
16
18
Fumbles / Game
13
7
Turnover EPA / Game
23
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
15
5
RZ Efficiency
23
15
Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
12
Yards / Game
18
6
Passing Yards / Game
4
15
Rushing Yards / Game
22
18
EPA
EPA / Play
22
15
EPA / Pass
20
10
EPA / Rush
24
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
23
Interceptions / Game
26
19
Fumbles / Game
13
25
Turnover EPA / Game
12
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
5
4th Down Efficiency
25
16
RZ Efficiency
27
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
2-4
SU
2-4
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Patriots
4-2
SU
2-3-1
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U