DENBroncos
4-2
7
TBD
Gillette Stadium
40°F
041
NEPatriots
3-2
TBD
Gillette Stadium
40°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
0
0
7
7
Patriots
6
14
14
7
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
404
Total Plays
58
68
Yards / Play
4.7
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.33
Passing Yards
169
147
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
18/24(75%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.06
Rushing Yards
106
257
Rush Attempts
26
38
Yards / Rush
4.1
6.8
EPA / Rush
-0.39
+0.42
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
25
Passing 1st downs
12
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
15
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
46%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-20.38
--
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-18
-38
Sack EPA
-5.81
-8.76
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
87
65
Penalty EPA
-14.34
-1.86
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
8
Yards / Game
2
10
Passing Yards / Game
25
12
Rushing Yards / Game
11
16
EPA
EPA / Play
5
20
EPA / Pass
4
27
EPA / Rush
5
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
5
Interceptions / Game
24
15
Fumbles / Game
18
22
Turnover EPA / Game
10
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
27
4th Down Efficiency
27
2
RZ Efficiency
16
32
Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
30
Yards / Game
5
29
Passing Yards / Game
4
21
Rushing Yards / Game
5
27
EPA
EPA / Play
2
32
EPA / Pass
9
31
EPA / Rush
1
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
32
Interceptions / Game
4
31
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
24
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
26
4th Down Efficiency
2
18
RZ Efficiency
18
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U