DENBroncos
5-2
24
TBD
Gillette Stadium
60°F
15 mph
16
NEPatriots
3-3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
60°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
14
0
3
24
Patriots
0
7
3
6
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
351
179
Total Plays
65
54
Yards / Play
5.4
3.3
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.13
Passing Yards
215
110
Comp/Att
18/23(78%)
15/30(50%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
3.7
EPA / Pass
+0.37
-0.34
Rushing Yards
136
69
Rush Attempts
40
19
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
16
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
62%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.40
--
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-14
-20
Sack EPA
-3.44
-6.48
Penalties
2
8
Penalty Yards
51
83
Penalty EPA
-3.15
-6.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
15
Yards / Game
3
23
Passing Yards / Game
3
7
Rushing Yards / Game
5
31
EPA
EPA / Play
4
19
EPA / Pass
9
8
EPA / Rush
4
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
23
12
Fumbles / Game
5
12
Turnover EPA / Game
14
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
26
4th Down Efficiency
4
27
RZ Efficiency
7
31
Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
14
Yards / Game
22
6
Passing Yards / Game
21
22
Rushing Yards / Game
28
4
EPA
EPA / Play
10
22
EPA / Pass
18
20
EPA / Rush
16
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
5
Interceptions / Game
9
30
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
26
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
28
4th Down Efficiency
20
15
RZ Efficiency
16
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U