DENBroncos
3-10
23
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
55°F
039
OAKRaiders
6-7
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
55°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
14
3
3
3
23
Raiders
14
3
6
14
37
Spread
-8
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
235
502
Total Plays
51
67
Yards / Play
4.6
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.00
+0.17
Passing Yards
129
--
Comp/Att
8/16(50%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.07
Rushing Yards
106
264
Rush Attempts
33
41
Yards / Rush
3.2
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
20
Passing 1st downs
5
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
17%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
2
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-12.69
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-2.28
--
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
93
84
Penalty EPA
-10.02
-5.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model72.2%
Spread Pick
Broncos+8.0
Expected Value
+10.0%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+98
Home nfelo
1,410
Away nfelo
1,380
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+33.1
Home QB Adjustment
+9.6
Away QB Adjustment
-23.5
Market Regression
+33.2
Final Difference
165.7
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
T. Tebow
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
-23.5
No recent game data available
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+9.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
20
Yards / Game
11
11
Passing Yards / Game
5
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
29
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
12
11
EPA / Rush
30
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
6
Interceptions / Game
7
26
Fumbles / Game
26
22
Turnover EPA / Game
16
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
6
4th Down Efficiency
30
2
RZ Efficiency
13
17
Raiders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
32
Yards / Game
10
32
Passing Yards / Game
18
4
Rushing Yards / Game
2
31
EPA
EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
22
30
EPA / Rush
5
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
10
Interceptions / Game
16
31
Fumbles / Game
22
22
Turnover EPA / Game
26
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
27
RZ Efficiency
18
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U