DENBroncos
8-4
38
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
023
NOSaints
8-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
21
3
7
38
Saints
7
6
3
7
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
483
446
Total Plays
66
60
Yards / Play
7.3
7.4
EPA / Play
+0.34
+0.04
Passing Yards
200
425
Comp/Att
11/16(69%)
30/48(63%)
Yards / Pass
12.5
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.75
+0.30
Rushing Yards
283
21
Rush Attempts
49
9
Yards / Rush
5.8
2.3
EPA / Rush
+0.23
-0.53
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
19
Passing 1st downs
9
18
Rushing 1st downs
15
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
54%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
80%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-6.66
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-1
-16
Sack EPA
-1.39
-2.92
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
21
45
Penalty EPA
-1.96
-3.86
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
14
Yards / Game
2
13
Passing Yards / Game
2
14
Rushing Yards / Game
4
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
13
EPA / Pass
6
10
EPA / Rush
5
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
16
Interceptions / Game
4
9
Fumbles / Game
15
15
Turnover EPA / Game
19
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
24
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
9
15
Saints Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
21
Yards / Game
12
21
Passing Yards / Game
9
23
Rushing Yards / Game
14
8
EPA
EPA / Play
13
18
EPA / Pass
8
15
EPA / Rush
15
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
23
Interceptions / Game
13
2
Fumbles / Game
17
8
Turnover EPA / Game
25
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
6
4th Down Efficiency
7
9
RZ Efficiency
14
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U