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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. broncos @ steelers week 9, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DEN logo
DENBroncos
5-2
31
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
53°F
5 mph
20
PITSteelers
2-5
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
53°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
14
0
7
10
31
Steelers
0
10
7
3
20

Game Statistics

General
Broncos logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
336
499
Total Plays
51
77
Yards / Play
6.6
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.05
Passing Yards
221
403
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
38/54(70%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.04
Rushing Yards
115
96
Rush Attempts
23
19
Yards / Rush
5.0
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
Broncos logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
13
27
Passing 1st downs
8
21
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
25%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
75%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Broncos logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
0
6
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-14.38
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-6
-30
Sack EPA
-1.57
-7.14
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
60
50
Penalty EPA
-5.76
-5.78

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DEN logo
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Broncos Offense vs Steelers Defense
Broncos logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
17
11
Yards / Game
21
7
Passing Yards / Game
27
7
Rushing Yards / Game
8
3

EPA

EPA / Play
17
9
EPA / Pass
23
16
EPA / Rush
9
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
4
Interceptions / Game
20
6
Fumbles / Game
17
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
12
RZ Efficiency
11
8
Steelers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Steelers logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
11
6
Yards / Game
6
15
Passing Yards / Game
4
14
Rushing Yards / Game
11
12

EPA

EPA / Play
12
7
EPA / Pass
10
10
EPA / Rush
19
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
20
Interceptions / Game
30
15
Fumbles / Game
17
9
Turnover EPA / Game
5
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
5
13
4th Down Efficiency
16
5
RZ Efficiency
17
7

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DEN logo

Broncos

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
16
W
W
P
01/14
14
W
W
P
01/22
-17
L
L
P
09/10
-8
L
L
P
09/17
3
W
L
P
09/24
10
W
W
P
10/09
10
W
W
P
10/15
10
W
L
P
10/22
10
W
W
P
10/29
-3
L
L
P
PIT logo

Steelers

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/15
3
W
W
P
01/22
17
W
W
P
02/05
11
W
W
P
09/07
11
W
W
P
09/18
-9
L
L
P
09/24
-8
L
L
P
10/08
-10
L
L
P
10/15
38
W
W
P
10/22
-3
L
L
P
10/29
-7
L
L
P