CLEBrowns
0-3
20
TBD
Paycor Stadium
74°F
7 mph
12
CINBengals
0-3
TBD
Paycor Stadium
74°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
3
0
0
17
20
Bengals
0
6
0
6
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
261
211
Total Plays
65
55
Yards / Play
4.0
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.15
Passing Yards
127
142
Comp/Att
15/24(63%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
3.9
EPA / Pass
-0.01
-0.20
Rushing Yards
134
69
Rush Attempts
40
16
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.45
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
38%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
6
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-3.17
-11.25
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-11
-14
Sack EPA
-1.77
-5.59
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
52
55
Penalty EPA
-0.64
-6.57
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
19
Yards / Game
31
12
Passing Yards / Game
32
2
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
30
15
EPA / Pass
30
22
EPA / Rush
19
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
3
Interceptions / Game
29
23
Fumbles / Game
3
16
Turnover EPA / Game
9
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
24
4th Down Efficiency
23
10
RZ Efficiency
31
26
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
15
Yards / Game
32
26
Passing Yards / Game
23
6
Rushing Yards / Game
29
28
EPA
EPA / Play
31
13
EPA / Pass
28
28
EPA / Rush
32
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
25
Interceptions / Game
17
2
Fumbles / Game
25
20
Turnover EPA / Game
18
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
30
4th Down Efficiency
15
25
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U