CLEBrowns
4-5
27
TBD
Paycor Stadium
36°F
9 mph
20
CINBengals
1-8
TBD
Paycor Stadium
36°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
14
3
7
3
27
Bengals
7
7
3
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
382
350
Total Plays
71
53
Yards / Play
5.4
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.13
Passing Yards
--
248
Comp/Att
22/36(61%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.3
EPA / Pass
+0.47
+0.09
Rushing Yards
140
102
Rush Attempts
35
22
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
14
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
61%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
11
5
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
60%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+0.36
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-0.38
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
--
32
Penalty EPA
--
-4.45
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
32
Yards / Game
20
18
Passing Yards / Game
7
4
Rushing Yards / Game
26
21
EPA
EPA / Play
15
32
EPA / Pass
12
31
EPA / Rush
20
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
13
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
10
12
Turnover EPA / Game
27
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
23
4th Down Efficiency
1
15
RZ Efficiency
14
20
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
13
Yards / Game
19
24
Passing Yards / Game
14
2
Rushing Yards / Game
20
22
EPA
EPA / Play
24
14
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
7
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
18
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
8
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
20
4th Down Efficiency
23
15
RZ Efficiency
26
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U