CLEBrowns
3-6
29
TBD
New Era Field
30°F
9 mph
27
BUFBills
5-4
TBD
New Era Field
30°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
6
7
3
13
29
Bills
0
10
3
14
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
337
334
Total Plays
64
64
Yards / Play
5.3
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.07
Passing Yards
176
--
Comp/Att
14/36(39%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
--
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.26
Rushing Yards
161
186
Rush Attempts
27
38
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.25
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
23%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-17.92
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.83
--
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-4.68
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
14
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
32
17
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
30
11
EPA / Pass
30
16
EPA / Rush
19
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
10
Interceptions / Game
29
28
Fumbles / Game
3
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
9
4th Down Efficiency
23
16
RZ Efficiency
31
5
Bills Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
15
Yards / Game
25
26
Passing Yards / Game
22
6
Rushing Yards / Game
13
28
EPA
EPA / Play
15
13
EPA / Pass
24
28
EPA / Rush
9
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
25
Interceptions / Game
17
2
Fumbles / Game
29
20
Turnover EPA / Game
7
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
30
4th Down Efficiency
22
25
RZ Efficiency
22
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U