CLEBrowns
2-3
11
TBD
FedExField
59°F
5 mph
14
WASCommanders
4-2
TBD
FedExField
59°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
0
3
8
11
Commanders
0
0
7
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
238
351
Total Plays
67
60
Yards / Play
3.6
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.11
Passing Yards
136
158
Comp/Att
14/38(37%)
14/23(61%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.23
Rushing Yards
102
193
Rush Attempts
28
36
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
25%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.26
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-6
Sack EPA
-0.96
-0.78
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
--
38
Penalty EPA
--
-4.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
5
Yards / Game
31
5
Passing Yards / Game
32
5
Rushing Yards / Game
26
8
EPA
EPA / Play
30
8
EPA / Pass
30
13
EPA / Rush
19
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
10
Interceptions / Game
29
18
Fumbles / Game
3
26
Turnover EPA / Game
9
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
7
4th Down Efficiency
23
26
RZ Efficiency
31
21
Commanders Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
15
Yards / Game
18
26
Passing Yards / Game
13
6
Rushing Yards / Game
8
28
EPA
EPA / Play
26
13
EPA / Pass
20
28
EPA / Rush
16
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
25
Interceptions / Game
1
2
Fumbles / Game
18
20
Turnover EPA / Game
28
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
30
4th Down Efficiency
5
25
RZ Efficiency
23
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U