nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. browns @ dolphins week 13, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CLE logo
CLEBrowns
4-7
13
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
76°F
10 mph
10
MIADolphins
6-5
MIA logo
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
76°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
7
3
13
Dolphins
0
3
0
7
10

Spread

CLE logo
+5.5

Total

UNDER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Dolphins logo
Total Yards
252
281
Total Plays
58
65
Yards / Play
4.3
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.23
Passing Yards
200
167
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
16/32(50%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.33
Rushing Yards
52
114
Rush Attempts
22
32
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Dolphins logo
1st Downs
12
17
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
14%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Dolphins logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-12.41
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-17
-7
Sack EPA
-2.89
-1.14
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
45
37
Penalty EPA
-4.50
-2.44

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-8.5

Win Probability

Market68.0%
Model76.6%
Spread Pick
MIA logo
Dolphins-5.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+22.9%
Cover Probability
64.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+279
Home nfelo
1,559
Away nfelo
1,379
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+36.6
Home QB Adjustment
+13.0
Away QB Adjustment
-23.6
Market Regression
+14.8
Final Difference
206.0
Model Spread
-8.5

Quarterbacks

J. Delhomme headshot

J. Delhomme

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-23.6
Value
Ptile
10/11
-2.7
34
10/18
-7.0
11
10/25
-2.3
36
11/01
-2.2
37
11/08
-1.3
41
11/15
3.2
70
11/19
-5.2
19
11/29
-14.7
0
09/12
-2.0
36
11/28
-3.0
29
C. Henne headshot

C. Henne

Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
+13.0
Value
Ptile
01/03
-1.4
40
09/12
-2.3
33
09/19
-2.9
30
09/26
4.3
78
10/04
0.7
53
10/17
3.2
71
10/24
1.9
60
10/31
-1.0
43
11/07
-5.3
16
11/28
0.0
49

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Browns logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
31
13
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
28
7
Rushing Yards / Game
21
7

EPA

EPA / Play
23
15
EPA / Pass
27
24
EPA / Rush
22
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
11
Interceptions / Game
19
28
Fumbles / Game
13
17
Turnover EPA / Game
11
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
10
4th Down Efficiency
1
5
RZ Efficiency
27
2
Dolphins Offense vs Browns Defense
Dolphins logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
30
12
Yards / Game
21
22
Passing Yards / Game
14
11
Rushing Yards / Game
22
26

EPA

EPA / Play
25
23
EPA / Pass
20
25
EPA / Rush
26
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
16
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
6
17
Turnover EPA / Game
15
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
28
4th Down Efficiency
31
31
RZ Efficiency
14
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CLE logo

Browns

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-2
L
L
U
09/26
-7
L
W
O
10/03
3
W
W
O
10/10
-10
L
L
U
10/17
-18
L
L
O
10/24
13
W
W
O
11/07
20
W
W
O
11/14
-6
L
L
O
11/21
-4
L
L
O
11/28
1
W
L
O
MIA logo

Dolphins

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
4
W
W
U
09/26
-8
L
L
O
10/04
-27
L
L
O
10/17
3
W
W
U
10/24
-1
L
W
O
10/31
8
W
W
U
11/07
-16
L
L
U
11/14
12
W
W
O
11/18
-16
L
L
U
11/28
16
W
W
O