CLEBrowns
-
10
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
85°F
14 mph
29
PHIEagles
-
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
85°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
7
3
0
10
Eagles
7
6
7
7
27
Spread
-4
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
403
Total Plays
50
73
Yards / Play
5.8
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.35
--
Passing Yards
168
270
Comp/Att
12/26(46%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.42
+0.14
Rushing Yards
120
133
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
5.7
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
23
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
20%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.35
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-22
-8
Sack EPA
-4.09
-4.37
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
15
46
Penalty EPA
-3.04
-6.67
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model65.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+144
Home nfelo
1,490
Away nfelo
1,398
Home Field
+58.2
Base HFA
+58.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-5.1
Home QB Adjustment
-9.9
Away QB Adjustment
-4.8
Market Regression
-57.8
Final Difference
113.2
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
R. Griffin
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-4.8
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-9.9
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
11
Yards / Game
30
12
Passing Yards / Game
16
3
Rushing Yards / Game
18
15
EPA
EPA / Play
27
10
EPA / Pass
27
5
EPA / Rush
23
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
19
Interceptions / Game
16
8
Fumbles / Game
27
17
Turnover EPA / Game
16
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
19
4th Down Efficiency
5
11
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Eagles Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
30
Yards / Game
20
31
Passing Yards / Game
22
9
Rushing Yards / Game
9
30
EPA
EPA / Play
16
32
EPA / Pass
20
32
EPA / Rush
13
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
1
Interceptions / Game
16
22
Fumbles / Game
7
32
Turnover EPA / Game
23
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
30
4th Down Efficiency
18
29
RZ Efficiency
25
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
2-8
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U