CLEBrowns
2-4
23
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
72°F
12 mph
17
JAXJaguars
3-3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
72°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
10
0
6
23
Jaguars
0
7
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
327
380
Total Plays
52
74
Yards / Play
6.3
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.00
Passing Yards
236
267
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
25/42(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.19
Rushing Yards
91
113
Rush Attempts
24
29
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
9
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
25%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
11
3rd Down Attempts
12
20
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.46
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-10
-16
Sack EPA
-2.42
-2.85
Penalties
1
6
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-2.35
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
21
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
32
14
Rushing Yards / Game
26
14
EPA
EPA / Play
30
26
EPA / Pass
30
30
EPA / Rush
19
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
8
Interceptions / Game
29
18
Fumbles / Game
3
32
Turnover EPA / Game
9
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
21
4th Down Efficiency
23
10
RZ Efficiency
31
25
Jaguars Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
15
Yards / Game
20
26
Passing Yards / Game
6
6
Rushing Yards / Game
18
28
EPA
EPA / Play
18
13
EPA / Pass
19
28
EPA / Rush
6
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
25
Interceptions / Game
11
2
Fumbles / Game
20
20
Turnover EPA / Game
16
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
30
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
15
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U