CLEBrowns
7-7
13
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
48°F
3 mph
17
CARPanthers
5-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
48°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
3
7
13
Panthers
3
7
0
7
17
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
228
404
Total Plays
46
77
Yards / Play
5.0
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.01
Passing Yards
144
195
Comp/Att
10/21(48%)
18/31(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+0.12
Rushing Yards
84
209
Rush Attempts
22
45
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
27
Passing 1st downs
4
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
25%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+0.50
-4.93
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-22
-6
Sack EPA
-4.75
-1.24
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
49
49
Penalty EPA
-3.96
-4.52
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model60.4%
Spread Pick
Browns+6.0
Expected Value
+18.4%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+19
Home nfelo
1,403
Away nfelo
1,460
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+13.0
Home QB Adjustment
+39.6
Away QB Adjustment
+26.7
Market Regression
+8.1
Final Difference
73.5
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Manziel
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
+26.7
Value
Ptile
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+39.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
20
Yards / Game
23
6
Passing Yards / Game
22
19
Rushing Yards / Game
16
11
EPA
EPA / Play
27
16
EPA / Pass
22
14
EPA / Rush
23
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
14
Interceptions / Game
19
15
Fumbles / Game
4
4
Turnover EPA / Game
25
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
21
4th Down Efficiency
27
14
RZ Efficiency
23
29
Panthers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
9
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
20
17
Rushing Yards / Game
7
32
EPA
EPA / Play
17
8
EPA / Pass
19
3
EPA / Rush
11
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
20
Interceptions / Game
14
2
Fumbles / Game
14
16
Turnover EPA / Game
12
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
11
4th Down Efficiency
10
29
RZ Efficiency
25
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
1-9
O/U
Panthers
3-6-1
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U