CLEBrowns
6-5
16
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
37°F
15 mph
27
NEPatriots
7-5
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
37°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
4
0
3
3
10
Patriots
3
11
0
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
277
290
Total Plays
61
64
Yards / Play
4.5
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.26
-0.12
Passing Yards
227
209
Comp/Att
20/39(51%)
19/28(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.32
-0.33
Rushing Yards
50
81
Rush Attempts
19
33
Yards / Rush
2.6
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.11
-12.61
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-17
-9
Sack EPA
-3.67
-4.91
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
--
31
Penalty EPA
--
-2.54
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
5
Yards / Game
31
23
Passing Yards / Game
21
30
Rushing Yards / Game
31
17
EPA
EPA / Play
24
7
EPA / Pass
26
8
EPA / Rush
27
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
9
Interceptions / Game
23
7
Fumbles / Game
15
11
Turnover EPA / Game
13
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
11
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
23
4
Patriots Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
15
Yards / Game
20
21
Passing Yards / Game
19
4
Rushing Yards / Game
17
28
EPA
EPA / Play
11
9
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
21
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
4
Interceptions / Game
6
1
Fumbles / Game
10
27
Turnover EPA / Game
22
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
15
4th Down Efficiency
20
9
RZ Efficiency
15
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U