CLEBrowns
1-2
16
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
020
OAKRaiders
1-2
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
10
0
0
0
10
Raiders
0
10
10
0
20
Spread
+2
Total
UNDER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
268
Total Plays
57
55
Yards / Play
4.2
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.10
Passing Yards
149
116
Comp/Att
24/32(75%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.22
-0.16
Rushing Yards
92
152
Rush Attempts
22
29
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
30%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.04
-8.64
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-27
-14
Sack EPA
-5.48
-3.15
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
38
49
Penalty EPA
-5.12
-6.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model48.9%
Spread Pick
Raiders+2.0
Expected Value
+0.1%
Cover Probability
50.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+40
Home nfelo
1,474
Away nfelo
1,506
Home Field
+63.3
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+16.7
Net QB Adjustment
+7.9
Home QB Adjustment
-1.7
Away QB Adjustment
-9.6
Market Regression
-7.8
Final Difference
7.5
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
D. Watson
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-9.6
G. Minshew
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
25
Yards / Game
28
12
Passing Yards / Game
12
27
Rushing Yards / Game
29
12
EPA
EPA / Play
32
12
EPA / Pass
32
26
EPA / Rush
22
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
9
Interceptions / Game
32
22
Fumbles / Game
17
31
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
17
4th Down Efficiency
18
31
RZ Efficiency
27
22
Raiders Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
27
Yards / Game
27
18
Passing Yards / Game
9
10
Rushing Yards / Game
32
21
EPA
EPA / Play
31
9
EPA / Pass
24
21
EPA / Rush
32
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
2
Interceptions / Game
26
32
Fumbles / Game
29
8
Turnover EPA / Game
3
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
6
4th Down Efficiency
16
3
RZ Efficiency
26
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U