CLEBrowns
2-2
17
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
71°F
8 mph
24
OAKRaiders
3-2
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
71°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
7
0
10
17
Raiders
7
7
10
0
24
Spread
7
P
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
268
329
Total Plays
68
66
Yards / Play
3.9
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.10
Passing Yards
203
178
Comp/Att
21/45(47%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.39
Rushing Yards
65
151
Rush Attempts
21
40
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
16
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.25
-3.16
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-9
Sack EPA
-2.72
-2.10
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
34
35
Penalty EPA
-2.45
-3.28
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model66.3%
Spread Pick
Browns+7.0
Expected Value
+9.2%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+74
Home nfelo
1,513
Away nfelo
1,464
Home Field
+25.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+0.2
Home QB Adjustment
+8.9
Away QB Adjustment
+8.7
Market Regression
+52.5
Final Difference
117.9
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
D. McCoy
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+8.7
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
29
Yards / Game
29
29
Passing Yards / Game
20
16
Rushing Yards / Game
28
27
EPA
EPA / Play
26
30
EPA / Pass
23
25
EPA / Rush
24
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
30
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
1
26
Turnover EPA / Game
27
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
25
4th Down Efficiency
7
5
RZ Efficiency
29
23
Raiders Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
5
Yards / Game
9
10
Passing Yards / Game
26
6
Rushing Yards / Game
6
30
EPA
EPA / Play
10
18
EPA / Pass
13
12
EPA / Rush
8
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
14
Interceptions / Game
27
30
Fumbles / Game
6
4
Turnover EPA / Game
11
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
23
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U