CLEBrowns
0-2
3
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
72°F
6 mph
34
BALRavens
2-0
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
72°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
0
0
3
3
Ravens
10
10
7
7
34
Spread
-13.5
Total
UNDER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
186
479
Total Plays
52
66
Yards / Play
3.6
7.3
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.25
Passing Yards
115
337
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
26/37(70%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
9.1
EPA / Pass
-0.57
+0.42
Rushing Yards
71
142
Rush Attempts
23
28
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
28
Passing 1st downs
8
17
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-14.62
-4.64
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
-9
Sack EPA
-3.42
-1.59
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
46
84
Penalty EPA
-4.27
-0.70
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-13.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model86.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+321
Home nfelo
1,637
Away nfelo
1,378
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+5.2
Home QB Adjustment
+3.4
Away QB Adjustment
-1.8
Market Regression
-16.6
Final Difference
318.3
Model Spread
-13.5
Quarterbacks
B. Quinn
Proj. Value
-4.9
Team Elo Adj
-1.8
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+3.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
2
Yards / Game
32
2
Passing Yards / Game
30
14
Rushing Yards / Game
8
3
EPA
EPA / Play
27
4
EPA / Pass
32
3
EPA / Rush
15
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
17
Interceptions / Game
22
5
Fumbles / Game
25
11
Turnover EPA / Game
6
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
28
7
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
21
Yards / Game
14
31
Passing Yards / Game
19
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
14
29
EPA / Rush
4
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
13
29
Fumbles / Game
6
28
Turnover EPA / Game
27
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
17
4th Down Efficiency
24
15
RZ Efficiency
15
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
1-9
SU
1-8-1
ATS
1-1-8
O/U
Ravens
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
2-0-8
O/U