CLEBrowns
0-2
17
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
64°F
6 mph
24
BALRavens
1-1
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
64°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
3
7
0
7
17
Ravens
7
7
0
10
24
Spread
+12.5
Total
OVER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
304
365
Total Plays
55
59
Yards / Play
5.5
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.22
Passing Yards
131
--
Comp/Att
18/24(75%)
23/32(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.45
Rushing Yards
173
109
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
9
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-10
--
Sack EPA
-2.50
--
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
60
60
Penalty EPA
-4.68
-11.59
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-11.0
Win Probability
Market84.1%
Model81.6%
Spread Pick
Browns+12.5
Expected Value
+0.7%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+193
Home nfelo
1,585
Away nfelo
1,367
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-81.2
Home QB Adjustment
-19.7
Away QB Adjustment
+61.6
Market Regression
+14.0
Final Difference
258.6
Model Spread
-11.0
Quarterbacks
S. Wallace
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+61.6
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-19.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
3
Yards / Game
30
4
Passing Yards / Game
28
12
Rushing Yards / Game
21
3
EPA
EPA / Play
23
6
EPA / Pass
27
8
EPA / Rush
22
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
9
Interceptions / Game
19
7
Fumbles / Game
13
7
Turnover EPA / Game
11
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
18
RZ Efficiency
27
6
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
12
Yards / Game
22
22
Passing Yards / Game
15
11
Rushing Yards / Game
16
26
EPA
EPA / Play
10
23
EPA / Pass
10
25
EPA / Rush
18
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
16
Interceptions / Game
3
8
Fumbles / Game
17
17
Turnover EPA / Game
23
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
28
4th Down Efficiency
19
31
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U