CLE logo
CLE
0-9
7
28
BAL
4-4
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
7
0
0
7
Ravens
0
6
15
7
28

Spread

BAL logo
-7.5

Total

UNDER
44

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
144
398
Total Plays
48
78
Yards / Play
3.0
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.42
+0.03
Passing Yards
111
279
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
30/42(71%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.53
+0.18
Rushing Yards
33
119
Rush Attempts
13
34
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
11
29
Passing 1st downs
9
19
Rushing 1st downs
1
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
20%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
NaN%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.40
-7.35
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-39
-19
Sack EPA
-11.62
-4.33
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
--
61
Penalty EPA
--
-1.32

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5

Win Probability

Market74.4%
Model74.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+215
Home nfelo
1,519
Away nfelo
1,332
Home Field
+31.4
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.3
Home QB Adjustment
-15.1
Away QB Adjustment
-11.8
Market Regression
-62.1
Final Difference
185.3
Model Spread
-7.5

Quarterbacks

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Browns logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
30
7
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
18
5

EPA

EPA / Play
27
6
EPA / Pass
27
11
EPA / Rush
23
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
19
Interceptions / Game
16
1
Fumbles / Game
27
8
Turnover EPA / Game
16
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
2
4th Down Efficiency
5
25
RZ Efficiency
15
23
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Ravens logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
20
30
Yards / Game
17
31
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
30

EPA

EPA / Play
19
32
EPA / Pass
26
32
EPA / Rush
15
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
7
1
Interceptions / Game
21
22
Fumbles / Game
2
32
Turnover EPA / Game
19
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
30
4th Down Efficiency
26
29
RZ Efficiency
19
29