
CLEBrowns
0-9
7
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
3 mph
28
BALRavens
4-4

TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
7
0
0
7
Ravens
0
6
15
7
28
Spread

-7.5
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General


Total Yards
144
398
Total Plays
48
78
Yards / Play
3.0
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.42
+0.03
Passing Yards
111
279
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
30/42(71%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.53
+0.18
Rushing Yards
33
119
Rush Attempts
13
34
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.17
Downs & Conversions


1st Downs
11
29
Passing 1st downs
9
19
Rushing 1st downs
1
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
20%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
NaN%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays


Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.40
-7.35
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-39
-19
Sack EPA
-11.62
-4.33
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
--
61
Penalty EPA
--
-1.32
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner

BALRavensFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model74.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+215
Home nfelo
1,519
Away nfelo
1,332
Home Field
+31.4
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.3
Home QB Adjustment
-15.1
Away QB Adjustment
-11.8
Market Regression
-62.1
Final Difference
185.3
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks

C. Kessler
Proj. Value
-4.5
Team Elo Adj
-11.8

J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-15.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense


Total
Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
30
7
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
18
5
EPA
EPA / Play
27
6
EPA / Pass
27
11
EPA / Rush
23
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
19
Interceptions / Game
16
1
Fumbles / Game
27
8
Turnover EPA / Game
16
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
2
4th Down Efficiency
5
25
RZ Efficiency
15
23
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense


Total
Points / Game
20
30
Yards / Game
17
31
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
30
EPA
EPA / Play
19
32
EPA / Pass
26
32
EPA / Rush
15
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
1
Interceptions / Game
21
22
Fumbles / Game
2
32
Turnover EPA / Game
19
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
30
4th Down Efficiency
26
29
RZ Efficiency
19
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Browns
0-10
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U

Ravens
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U