CLEBrowns
7-8
10
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
5 mph
20
BALRavens
9-6
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
7
0
10
Ravens
0
3
0
17
20
Spread
+14
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
419
Total Plays
61
65
Yards / Play
4.2
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.02
Passing Yards
150
290
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
8.1
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.18
Rushing Yards
109
129
Rush Attempts
29
28
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
22
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
23%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.81
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-27
-22
Sack EPA
-5.08
-2.75
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
58
55
Penalty EPA
-5.68
-7.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-8.5
Current
-14.0
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model84.6%
Spread Pick
Browns+14.0
Expected Value
+6.3%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+192
Home nfelo
1,527
Away nfelo
1,453
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+62.4
Home QB Adjustment
+12.3
Away QB Adjustment
-50.2
Market Regression
+88.3
Final Difference
296.2
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
C. Shaw
Proj. Value
-6.2
Team Elo Adj
-50.2
No recent game data available
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+12.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
7
Yards / Game
23
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
3
EPA
EPA / Play
27
13
EPA / Pass
22
23
EPA / Rush
23
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
32
Interceptions / Game
19
21
Fumbles / Game
4
9
Turnover EPA / Game
25
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
17
4th Down Efficiency
27
11
RZ Efficiency
23
2
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
9
Yards / Game
12
22
Passing Yards / Game
30
17
Rushing Yards / Game
9
32
EPA
EPA / Play
5
8
EPA / Pass
6
3
EPA / Rush
13
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
20
Interceptions / Game
10
2
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
26
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
11
4th Down Efficiency
5
29
RZ Efficiency
14
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
1-9
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U