CLEBrowns
5-5
24
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
015
NOSaints
7-3
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
7
7
3
24
Saints
3
3
6
3
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
383
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
5.7
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.05
Passing Yards
176
309
Comp/Att
12/22(55%)
23/41(56%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.23
Rushing Yards
163
74
Rush Attempts
37
21
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
50%
17%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
5
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-2.89
-18.11
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-9
Sack EPA
-1.25
-6.66
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
31
24
Penalty EPA
-5.79
-3.58
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
26
Yards / Game
20
27
Passing Yards / Game
7
27
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
15
16
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
20
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
13
Interceptions / Game
25
7
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
27
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
1
25
RZ Efficiency
14
23
Saints Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
13
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
10
2
Rushing Yards / Game
17
22
EPA
EPA / Play
13
14
EPA / Pass
19
15
EPA / Rush
12
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
18
Interceptions / Game
12
14
Fumbles / Game
15
23
Turnover EPA / Game
15
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
20
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
13
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U