CLEBrowns
3-10
13
TBD
Lumen Field
47°F
10 mph
30
SEASeahawks
8-5
TBD
Lumen Field
47°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
3
0
3
13
Seahawks
7
13
0
10
30
Spread
-14.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
230
423
Total Plays
52
68
Yards / Play
4.4
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.33
Passing Yards
136
241
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.02
+0.61
Rushing Yards
94
182
Rush Attempts
17
36
Yards / Rush
5.5
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.19
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
28
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
50%
75%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.01
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-25
-8
Sack EPA
-4.21
-1.80
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
40
30
Penalty EPA
-7.23
-3.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.5
Model
-17.5
Win Probability
Market87.9%
Model91.4%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-14.5
Expected Value
+23.0%
Cover Probability
64.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+463
Home nfelo
1,674
Away nfelo
1,349
Home Field
+91.1
Base HFA
+59.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.8
Time Adj
+10.7
Net QB Adjustment
+46.9
Home QB Adjustment
+34.1
Away QB Adjustment
-12.7
Market Regression
+5.7
Final Difference
409.7
Model Spread
-17.5
Quarterbacks
J. Manziel
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-12.7
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+34.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
3
Yards / Game
26
1
Passing Yards / Game
12
6
Rushing Yards / Game
22
3
EPA
EPA / Play
29
8
EPA / Pass
28
6
EPA / Rush
18
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
5
Interceptions / Game
11
19
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
6
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
7
4th Down Efficiency
26
2
RZ Efficiency
32
3
Seahawks Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
29
Yards / Game
8
28
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
3
30
EPA
EPA / Play
3
29
EPA / Pass
1
30
EPA / Rush
12
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
2
Interceptions / Game
7
20
Fumbles / Game
5
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
21
4th Down Efficiency
1
27
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U