CLEBrowns
7-8
7
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
31°F
5 mph
28
PITSteelers
12-3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
31°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
0
0
0
7
Steelers
0
7
8
7
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
173
376
Total Plays
49
62
Yards / Play
3.5
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.32
+0.07
Passing Yards
105
155
Comp/Att
13/26(50%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.46
-0.19
Rushing Yards
68
221
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
3.6
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
19
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
11%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.36
-9.89
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-45
-14
Sack EPA
-6.21
-2.61
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
70
42
Penalty EPA
-6.75
-5.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
1
Yards / Game
31
1
Passing Yards / Game
21
2
Rushing Yards / Game
31
1
EPA
EPA / Play
24
1
EPA / Pass
26
2
EPA / Rush
27
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
20
Interceptions / Game
23
16
Fumbles / Game
15
17
Turnover EPA / Game
13
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
23
13
Steelers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
15
Yards / Game
3
21
Passing Yards / Game
17
4
Rushing Yards / Game
1
28
EPA
EPA / Play
8
9
EPA / Pass
5
3
EPA / Rush
4
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
9
1
Fumbles / Game
4
27
Turnover EPA / Game
26
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
15
4th Down Efficiency
10
9
RZ Efficiency
28
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U