TBBuccaneers
6-6
7
TBD
Levi's Stadium
54°F
8 mph
35
SF49ers
8-4
TBD
Levi's Stadium
54°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
0
7
0
7
49ers
7
21
7
0
35
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
322
404
Total Plays
74
59
Yards / Play
4.4
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.28
+0.15
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
34/55(62%)
17/23(74%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.17
+0.34
Rushing Yards
69
209
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
24
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
25%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.07
-4.11
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
8
2
Penalty Yards
62
--
Penalty EPA
-7.77
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model53.7%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers+3.5
Expected Value
+13.2%
Cover Probability
59.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-25
Home nfelo
1,605
Away nfelo
1,551
Home Field
+54.8
Base HFA
+40.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+14.4
Net QB Adjustment
-134.3
Home QB Adjustment
-135.4
Away QB Adjustment
-1.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
25.8
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
T. Brady
Proj. Value
+2.8
Team Elo Adj
-1.2
B. Purdy
Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
-135.4
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
1
Yards / Game
14
2
Passing Yards / Game
11
19
Rushing Yards / Game
32
2
EPA
EPA / Play
23
1
EPA / Pass
11
2
EPA / Rush
32
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
27
Interceptions / Game
8
2
Fumbles / Game
24
19
Turnover EPA / Game
16
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
16
RZ Efficiency
24
20
49ers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
15
Yards / Game
6
10
Passing Yards / Game
27
21
Rushing Yards / Game
7
15
EPA
EPA / Play
6
18
EPA / Pass
2
19
EPA / Rush
23
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
32
Interceptions / Game
3
27
Fumbles / Game
26
7
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
8
4th Down Efficiency
29
25
RZ Efficiency
19
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
1-8-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
49ers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U