TBBuccaneers
9-5
19
TBD
Candlestick Park
51°F
5 mph
21
SF49ers
4-10
TBD
Candlestick Park
51°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
6
7
0
6
19
49ers
0
7
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
434
213
Total Plays
81
55
Yards / Play
5.4
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.11
Passing Yards
367
116
Comp/Att
30/53(57%)
11/24(46%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.05
-0.30
Rushing Yards
67
97
Rush Attempts
24
29
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
11
Passing 1st downs
18
6
Rushing 1st downs
1
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
37%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
19
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-11.23
-5.02
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-14
-7
Sack EPA
-6.75
-2.19
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
56
72
Penalty EPA
-3.41
-5.43
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
20
Yards / Game
18
25
Passing Yards / Game
21
15
Rushing Yards / Game
13
22
EPA
EPA / Play
16
15
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
11
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
1
Interceptions / Game
1
30
Fumbles / Game
18
14
Turnover EPA / Game
28
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
17
4th Down Efficiency
25
19
RZ Efficiency
24
6
49ers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
3
Yards / Game
32
2
Passing Yards / Game
27
6
Rushing Yards / Game
27
16
EPA
EPA / Play
32
4
EPA / Pass
32
9
EPA / Rush
31
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
14
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
26
3
Turnover EPA / Game
6
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
20
4th Down Efficiency
31
24
RZ Efficiency
16
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U