TBBuccaneers
1-1
27
TBD
Soldier Field
76°F
5 mph
24
CHIBears
1-1
TBD
Soldier Field
76°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Buccaneers
7
1
0
10
3
21
Bears
6
3
8
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
454
407
Total Plays
84
75
Yards / Play
5.4
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.07
Passing Yards
--
249
Comp/Att
38/67(57%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.18
Rushing Yards
47
158
Rush Attempts
17
37
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.43
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
21
Passing 1st downs
22
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.72
-12.17
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-4.95
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
61
64
Penalty EPA
-4.12
-7.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
15
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
18
9
Rushing Yards / Game
14
5
EPA
EPA / Play
21
7
EPA / Pass
17
10
EPA / Rush
25
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
21
Interceptions / Game
11
3
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
13
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
6
4th Down Efficiency
12
14
RZ Efficiency
30
20
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
9
Yards / Game
26
9
Passing Yards / Game
7
13
Rushing Yards / Game
22
19
EPA
EPA / Play
25
6
EPA / Pass
27
6
EPA / Rush
27
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
15
3
Fumbles / Game
29
22
Turnover EPA / Game
14
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
10
4th Down Efficiency
23
4
RZ Efficiency
13
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U