TBBuccaneers
7-5
3
TBD
Soldier Field
45°F
10 mph
27
CHIBears
9-3
TBD
Soldier Field
45°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
3
0
0
3
Bears
3
10
7
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
238
379
Total Plays
59
72
Yards / Play
4.0
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.40
-0.01
Passing Yards
177
172
Comp/Att
18/40(45%)
14/29(48%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.65
-0.22
Rushing Yards
61
207
Rush Attempts
18
40
Yards / Rush
3.4
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
21
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
14%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-12.53
-4.98
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-14
-18
Sack EPA
-4.79
-3.99
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
36
15
Penalty EPA
-4.78
-3.18
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
2
Yards / Game
26
14
Passing Yards / Game
16
28
Rushing Yards / Game
30
2
EPA
EPA / Play
17
3
EPA / Pass
19
7
EPA / Rush
17
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
31
Interceptions / Game
11
9
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
28
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
9
4th Down Efficiency
2
3
RZ Efficiency
22
12
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
11
Yards / Game
27
7
Passing Yards / Game
30
16
Rushing Yards / Game
16
16
EPA
EPA / Play
18
10
EPA / Pass
23
10
EPA / Rush
15
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
10
Interceptions / Game
15
2
Fumbles / Game
2
22
Turnover EPA / Game
15
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
13
4th Down Efficiency
15
7
RZ Efficiency
18
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U