TBBuccaneers
3-10
31
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
034
CHIBears
11-2
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Buccaneers
0
3
7
21
0
31
Bears
7
14
3
7
3
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
357
446
Total Plays
67
82
Yards / Play
5.3
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.05
Passing Yards
300
312
Comp/Att
25/46(54%)
29/44(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.13
Rushing Yards
57
134
Rush Attempts
19
34
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
27
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
18
16
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.32
-5.29
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-5
-27
Sack EPA
-2.59
-6.44
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
73
79
Penalty EPA
-9.33
-2.63
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
3
Yards / Game
29
9
Passing Yards / Game
19
20
Rushing Yards / Game
28
9
EPA
EPA / Play
31
1
EPA / Pass
31
2
EPA / Rush
24
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
29
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
21
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
3
4th Down Efficiency
31
12
RZ Efficiency
23
10
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
14
16
Passing Yards / Game
12
12
Rushing Yards / Game
12
17
EPA
EPA / Play
15
13
EPA / Pass
26
28
EPA / Rush
14
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
18
Interceptions / Game
27
28
Fumbles / Game
22
25
Turnover EPA / Game
4
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
15
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U