TBBuccaneers
11-4
15
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
38°F
7 mph
0
CHIBears
4-11
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
38°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
6
0
9
15
Bears
0
0
0
0
0
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
272
218
Total Plays
66
52
Yards / Play
4.1
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.41
Passing Yards
111
133
Comp/Att
16/25(64%)
13/29(45%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.18
-0.80
Rushing Yards
161
85
Rush Attempts
36
22
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
14
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
39%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
11
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-16.71
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-23
-4
Sack EPA
-6.29
-1.28
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
26
45
Penalty EPA
-3.36
-2.99
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
25
Yards / Game
24
25
Passing Yards / Game
28
28
Rushing Yards / Game
25
27
EPA
EPA / Play
21
21
EPA / Pass
15
26
EPA / Rush
25
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
7
Interceptions / Game
4
30
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
21
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
10
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
23
8
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
1
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
17
9
Rushing Yards / Game
32
3
EPA
EPA / Play
27
1
EPA / Pass
27
1
EPA / Rush
27
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
17
Interceptions / Game
21
1
Fumbles / Game
25
26
Turnover EPA / Game
4
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
21
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U