TBBuccaneers
5-5
16
TBD
Paycor Stadium
51°F
8 mph
13
CINBengals
4-6
TBD
Paycor Stadium
51°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Buccaneers
0
1
3
3
3
10
Bengals
3
0
0
10
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
264
201
Total Plays
69
65
Yards / Play
3.8
3.1
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.19
Passing Yards
199
115
Comp/Att
26/33(79%)
19/38(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
3.0
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.19
Rushing Yards
65
86
Rush Attempts
30
24
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
13
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
36%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.17
-5.10
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-32
-29
Sack EPA
-6.16
-5.92
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
52
47
Penalty EPA
-5.43
-5.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
13
Yards / Game
26
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
7
Rushing Yards / Game
30
11
EPA
EPA / Play
17
6
EPA / Pass
19
11
EPA / Rush
17
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
25
Interceptions / Game
11
25
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
28
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
2
12
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Bengals Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
11
Yards / Game
23
7
Passing Yards / Game
22
16
Rushing Yards / Game
19
16
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
24
10
EPA / Rush
20
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
10
Interceptions / Game
31
2
Fumbles / Game
8
22
Turnover EPA / Game
12
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
13
4th Down Efficiency
27
7
RZ Efficiency
24
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U