TB logo
TB
-
BUF
-
BUF logo
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Bills Defense
Buccaneers logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
14
17
Yards / Game
15
11
Passing Yards / Game
8
1
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31

EPA

EPA / Play
23
25
EPA / Pass
15
11
EPA / Rush
15
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
2
17
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
23
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
25
4th Down Efficiency
14
21
RZ Efficiency
29
21
Bills Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Bills logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
2
20
Yards / Game
2
4
Passing Yards / Game
4
20
Rushing Yards / Game
1
5

EPA

EPA / Play
1
12
EPA / Pass
5
13
EPA / Rush
1
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
17
Interceptions / Game
2
24
Fumbles / Game
1
16
Turnover EPA / Game
32
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
3
4th Down Efficiency
7
9
RZ Efficiency
8
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TB logo

Buccaneers

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/08
15
W
W
U
12/15
23
W
W
O
12/22
-2
L
L
O
12/29
34
W
W
O
01/05
8
W
L
O
01/12
-3
L
L
U
09/07
3
W
W
U
09/15
1
W
W
U
09/21
2
W
L
O
09/28
-6
L
L
O
BUF logo

Bills

8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
3
W
L
U
12/29
26
W
W
O
01/05
-7
L
L
O
01/12
24
W
W
U
01/19
2
W
W
O
01/26
-3
L
L
O
09/07
1
W
W
O
09/14
20
W
W
U
09/18
10
W
L
O
09/28
12
W
L
O