nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. buccaneers @ broncos week 5, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

TB logo
TBBuccaneers
3-1
13
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
70°F
9 mph
16
DENBroncos
3-1
DEN logo
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
70°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
3
3
0
7
13
Broncos
0
6
7
3
16

Game Statistics

General
Buccaneers logo
Broncos logo
Total Yards
307
333
Total Plays
61
60
Yards / Play
5.0
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.07
Passing Yards
168
--
Comp/Att
26/36(72%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.03
+0.13
Rushing Yards
139
106
Rush Attempts
22
26
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Buccaneers logo
Broncos logo
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
40%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Buccaneers logo
Broncos logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-0.38
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-2.95
--
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
--
55
Penalty EPA
--
-5.49

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Buccaneers logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
20
30
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
18
21
Rushing Yards / Game
14
27

EPA

EPA / Play
21
32
EPA / Pass
17
31
EPA / Rush
25
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
11
31
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
13
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
26
4th Down Efficiency
12
18
RZ Efficiency
30
27
Broncos Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Broncos logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
13
9
Yards / Game
2
9
Passing Yards / Game
25
13
Rushing Yards / Game
11
19

EPA

EPA / Play
5
6
EPA / Pass
4
6
EPA / Rush
5
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
24
3
Fumbles / Game
18
22
Turnover EPA / Game
10
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
4
RZ Efficiency
16
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TB logo

Buccaneers

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/02
4
W
W
P
12/09
-14
L
L
P
12/16
34
W
W
P
12/23
-2
L
L
P
12/30
-8
L
L
P
01/06
-10
L
L
P
09/07
-4
L
L
P
09/14
15
W
W
P
09/21
3
W
W
P
09/28
9
W
W
P
DEN logo

Broncos

5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/25
-3
L
L
P
12/02
-14
L
L
P
12/09
34
W
W
P
12/13
-18
L
L
P
12/24
-20
L
L
P
12/30
3
W
W
P
09/08
27
W
W
P
09/14
1
W
P
P
09/21
2
W
L
P
09/28
-14
L
L
P