TBBuccaneers
3-1
13
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
70°F
9 mph
16
DENBroncos
3-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
70°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
3
3
0
7
13
Broncos
0
6
7
3
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
333
Total Plays
61
60
Yards / Play
5.0
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.07
Passing Yards
168
--
Comp/Att
26/36(72%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.03
+0.13
Rushing Yards
139
106
Rush Attempts
22
26
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
40%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-0.38
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-2.95
--
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
--
55
Penalty EPA
--
-5.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
30
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
18
21
Rushing Yards / Game
14
27
EPA
EPA / Play
21
32
EPA / Pass
17
31
EPA / Rush
25
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
11
31
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
13
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
26
4th Down Efficiency
12
18
RZ Efficiency
30
27
Broncos Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
9
Yards / Game
2
9
Passing Yards / Game
25
13
Rushing Yards / Game
11
19
EPA
EPA / Play
5
6
EPA / Pass
4
6
EPA / Rush
5
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
24
3
Fumbles / Game
18
22
Turnover EPA / Game
10
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
4
RZ Efficiency
16
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U