TBBuccaneers
5-3
30
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
027
KCChiefs
1-6
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Buccaneers
0
13
0
14
3
30
Chiefs
14
10
0
3
0
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
384
Total Plays
71
63
Yards / Play
6.0
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.08
Passing Yards
--
201
Comp/Att
32/46(70%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.27
Rushing Yards
81
183
Rush Attempts
25
36
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.53
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
21
Passing 1st downs
19
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
62%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-19.83
-5.98
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
-0.47
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
47
60
Penalty EPA
-6.05
-6.10
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
29
Yards / Game
13
31
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
14
30
EPA
EPA / Play
21
30
EPA / Pass
17
26
EPA / Rush
25
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
12
Interceptions / Game
11
18
Fumbles / Game
25
4
Turnover EPA / Game
13
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
32
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Chiefs Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
24
9
Passing Yards / Game
10
13
Rushing Yards / Game
16
19
EPA
EPA / Play
23
6
EPA / Pass
22
6
EPA / Rush
12
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
15
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
15
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
10
4th Down Efficiency
29
4
RZ Efficiency
10
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U