TB logo
TB
-
10
16
WAS
-
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
81°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
3
1
0
4
Commanders
7
3
0
6
16

Game Statistics

General
Buccaneers logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
169
291
Total Plays
56
63
Yards / Play
3.0
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.26
-0.17
Passing Yards
139
--
Comp/Att
24/37(65%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.37
-0.17
Rushing Yards
30
166
Rush Attempts
15
39
Yards / Rush
2.0
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.30
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
Buccaneers logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
10
13
Passing 1st downs
8
5
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
23%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
NaN%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
--
3
Negative Plays
Buccaneers logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.60
-6.83
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-30
--
Sack EPA
-6.95
--
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
44
23
Penalty EPA
-4.93
-2.11

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Buccaneers logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
23
4
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
6
12
Rushing Yards / Game
29
1

EPA

EPA / Play
25
4
EPA / Pass
16
5
EPA / Rush
32
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
15
Interceptions / Game
21
10
Fumbles / Game
29
25
Turnover EPA / Game
3
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
2
4th Down Efficiency
3
12
RZ Efficiency
15
15
Commanders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Commanders logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
30
4
Passing Yards / Game
24
1
Rushing Yards / Game
20
19

EPA

EPA / Play
29
8
EPA / Pass
24
4
EPA / Rush
27
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
9
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
16
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
11
4th Down Efficiency
27
10
RZ Efficiency
17
8