TBBuccaneers
3-1
17
TBD
FedExField
68°F
6 mph
20
WASCommanders
2-2
TBD
FedExField
68°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Buccaneers
7
0
0
10
0
17
Commanders
0
7
3
7
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
330
Total Plays
69
67
Yards / Play
3.7
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.10
Passing Yards
178
185
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
20/32(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.21
Rushing Yards
72
145
Rush Attempts
28
32
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
14
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
21%
28%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
18
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.32
-4.79
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-19
-22
Sack EPA
-3.85
-7.19
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
40
48
Penalty EPA
-1.71
-4.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
7
Yards / Game
22
5
Passing Yards / Game
28
4
Rushing Yards / Game
9
21
EPA
EPA / Play
17
12
EPA / Pass
17
3
EPA / Rush
9
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
24
Interceptions / Game
4
12
Fumbles / Game
4
5
Turnover EPA / Game
27
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
8
4th Down Efficiency
24
11
RZ Efficiency
8
3
Commanders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
8
Yards / Game
10
9
Passing Yards / Game
10
22
Rushing Yards / Game
19
11
EPA
EPA / Play
16
5
EPA / Pass
11
4
EPA / Rush
24
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
15
Interceptions / Game
25
5
Fumbles / Game
19
7
Turnover EPA / Game
12
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
7
4th Down Efficiency
21
22
RZ Efficiency
15
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U